Perry Bacon Jr.

I write about government (mostly federal, often state, occasionally local or international) and elections for @FiveThirtyEight. (perry.bacon@fivethirtyeight.com

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Published Content

192
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What Does Beto O’Rourke Believe?
March, 19 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Some Democrats And Virtually All Republicans Want To Talk About Israel
March, 14 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Do Democrats Have An Impeachment Problem?
March, 13 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The Six Wings Of The Democratic Party
March, 11 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What The House Vote Means For Trump’s National Emergency
February, 27 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What Americans Think About Reparations And Other Race-Related Questions
February, 26 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Trump’s National Emergency Policy Is Unpopular But Not Really Really Unpopular
February, 22 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Elizabeth Warren’s Ideas Could Win The Democratic Primary — Even If She Doesn’t
February, 20 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Could Congress Block Trump’s Emergency Declaration?
February, 18 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
6 Things To Listen For When The 2020 Democrats Talk About Policy
February, 12 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Politics Podcast: The Mess In Virginia
February, 7 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Will There Be A Moderate Lane In The 2020 Democratic Primary?
February, 7 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
How Cory Booker Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
February, 1 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Trump Blinked
January, 25 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
How Kamala Harris Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
January, 21 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Party Unity Hasn’t Cracked Under The Weight Of The Shutdown
January, 16 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried?
January, 8 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Sure, Pelosi Is Unpopular. But Another Democratic Speaker Likely Would Be Too.
January, 3 2019
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Mattis Leaving Might Be The Most Important Trump Administration Exit Yet
December, 21 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Latino Voters Haven’t Completely Abandoned The GOP
December, 20 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Have Republicans Given Up On Winning Black Voters?
December, 11 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Trump Hasn’t Needed The Wall To Remake U.S. Immigration Policy
December, 6 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The Republican Party Has Changed Dramatically Since George H.W. Bush Ran It
December, 1 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The Two (Or Three) Senators To Watch In 2019
November, 30 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The House’s Progressive Caucus Will Be Bigger Than Ever In 2019
November, 29 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
How Big A Difference Does The House Speaker Really Make?
November, 21 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Who Could Become Speaker Of The House If Pelosi Doesn’t?
November, 20 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What Does It Mean That Abrams And Gillum Are Both Likely To Lose?
November, 15 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Democrats Had A Big Night In Governor’s Races, But It Could Have Been Bigger
November, 7 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Election Update: Democrats Are Likely To Make Big Gains In Governors Races
November, 5 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Governors Update: Democrats Could Win In Some Very Red States
November, 2 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Are Democrats Looking So Strong In The Midwest?
October, 30 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Trump-Style Politics Will Be Put To The Test In Florida, Georgia And Kansas
October, 25 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Governors Update: Democrats Suddenly Have A Real Chance In Alaska
October, 22 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Three States Could Elect A Black Governor This Year. Will They?
October, 17 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Who’s Behaving Like A 2020 Presidential Candidate
October, 11 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Republicans Rescued Kavanaugh’s Nomination By Making It About #MeToo
October, 5 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Can Conservatives Ever Trust A Tech Industry Staffed Mostly By Liberals?
October, 2 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What To Watch For In Today’s Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearing
September, 27 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The 7 Senators Who Will Decide Kavanaugh’s Fate
September, 26 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Don’t Assume Trump Will Fire Rosenstein — Or That He Won’t
September, 24 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The Biggest Divides On The Kavanaugh Allegations Are By Party — Not Gender
September, 24 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What Happens To Brett Kavanaugh’s Nomination Now?
September, 17 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
The White House Unified On Old Issues — And Then Started New Fights
September, 14 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Americans Are Shifting The Rest Of Their Identity To Match Their Politics
September, 11 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Politics Podcast: How Useless Are Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings?
September, 7 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Democrats Were Willing To Break The Rules On Kavanaugh Day 3
September, 6 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
What We Actually Know About ‘Electability’
September, 6 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Kavanaugh Was Quietly Conservative On Day 2 Of His Hearing
September, 5 2018
fivethirtyeight.com
Article
Why Democrats Were So Fiery On Day 1 Of The Kavanaugh Hearings
September, 4 2018
Authorship Stats
1Sites192Projects241,570Words
About
Perry Bacon Jr. is a writer who has produced content for fivethirtyeight.com
Key Phrases
President Trump, White House, Supreme Court, Democratic Party, New York, Republican Party, Trump Administration, Percentage Points, Brett Kavanaugh, Democratic Primary
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